Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#125
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#125
Pace71.0#94
Improvement+2.0#86

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#124
Improvement-0.4#192

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#125
Improvement+2.4#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2010 224   Wyoming W 67-53 81%     1 - 0 +7.6 -3.2 -2.6
  Nov 21, 2010 25   @ Arizona L 70-93 11%     1 - 1 -7.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Nov 23, 2010 145   @ Santa Clara L 84-87 43%     1 - 2 +1.5 +2.5 +1.9
  Nov 26, 2010 96   Valparaiso L 61-76 42%     1 - 3 -10.3 +1.9 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2010 293   Bethune-Cookman W 69-45 84%     2 - 3 +15.8 -3.9 -3.0
  Dec 12, 2010 20   @ Illinois L 76-86 10%     2 - 4 +6.6 +8.2 +7.9
  Dec 18, 2010 214   @ Denver L 68-71 59%     2 - 5 -2.8 +0.5 -0.5
  Dec 20, 2010 72   @ Colorado St. L 61-75 24%     2 - 6 -3.8 +4.4 +5.1
  Dec 22, 2010 323   @ Louisiana Monroe L 75-78 86%     2 - 7 -11.8 -4.4 -4.6
  Dec 29, 2010 260   @ Portland St. W 79-66 70%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +10.3 -1.2 -0.9
  Dec 31, 2010 255   @ Eastern Washington W 75-73 69%     4 - 7 2 - 0 -0.5 -0.9 -1.5
  Jan 06, 2011 114   Montana W 63-45 60%     5 - 7 3 - 0 +18.1 +0.2 +0.9
  Jan 08, 2011 247   Montana St. W 72-58 85%     6 - 7 4 - 0 +5.8 -4.3 -3.3
  Jan 13, 2011 291   Idaho St. W 57-37 90%     7 - 7 5 - 0 +8.8 -6.1 -4.1
  Jan 20, 2011 316   @ Sacramento St. W 77-72 83%     8 - 7 6 - 0 -2.3 -3.3 -3.7
  Jan 22, 2011 166   Weber St. W 65-46 72%     9 - 7 7 - 0 +15.7 -1.7 -0.6
  Jan 29, 2011 166   @ Weber St. L 71-72 48%     9 - 8 7 - 1 +2.1 +1.7 +1.3
  Jan 31, 2011 135   @ Northern Arizona L 54-65 40%     9 - 9 7 - 2 -5.7 +1.8 +3.0
  Feb 03, 2011 255   Eastern Washington W 63-53 86%     10 - 9 8 - 2 +1.1 -4.5 -3.9
  Feb 05, 2011 260   Portland St. W 85-72 86%     11 - 9 9 - 2 +3.9 -4.2 -4.3
  Feb 10, 2011 247   @ Montana St. W 86-77 67%     12 - 9 10 - 2 +7.2 -0.4 -1.0
  Feb 12, 2011 114   @ Montana L 42-55 36%     12 - 10 10 - 3 -6.6 +2.3 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2011 132   @ New Mexico St. W 82-80 40%     13 - 10 +7.4 +3.3 +2.2
  Feb 21, 2011 305   North Dakota W 87-69 92%     14 - 10 +5.4 -5.6 -6.2
  Feb 26, 2011 135   Northern Arizona W 72-71 64%     15 - 10 11 - 3 +0.0 -0.7 -0.3
  Feb 28, 2011 291   @ Idaho St. W 77-74 76%     16 - 10 12 - 3 -1.9 -2.2 -2.5
  Mar 02, 2011 316   Sacramento St. W 84-54 93%     17 - 10 13 - 3 +16.4 -6.4 -5.9
  Mar 08, 2011 135   Northern Arizona W 73-70 64%     18 - 10 +2.0 -0.7 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2011 114   Montana W 65-60 60%     19 - 10 +5.1 -0.1 +0.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 10.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.0 0.1 4.8 90.7 4.4
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 4.8 90.7 4.4